**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C high on September 15 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Mexico City monitoring stations, aligning with real-time observational data from the day.** Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service had projected afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 23–25°C. This outcome sits within normal seasonal variability, supported by surface observations showing daytime warming to that threshold before evening cooling. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision or discrepancy in station reporting that shifts the verified daily maximum away from 25°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月15日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城9月15日的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,666 交易量
$31,666 交易量
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,666 交易量
$31,666 交易量
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
$348 交易量
<1%
18°C
$297 交易量
<1%
19°C
$348 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,329 交易量
<1%
21°C
$391 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,420 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,676 交易量
<1%
24°C
$11,974 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,794 交易量
100%
26°C
$2,462 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$1,626 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C high on September 15 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Mexico City monitoring stations, aligning with real-time observational data from the day.**
Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service had projected afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 23–25°C. This outcome sits within normal seasonal variability, supported by surface observations showing daytime warming to that threshold before evening cooling.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision or discrepancy in station reporting that shifts the verified daily maximum away from 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$31,666結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C high on September 15 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Mexico City monitoring stations, aligning with real-time observational data from the day.**
Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service had projected afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 23–25°C. This outcome sits within normal seasonal variability, supported by surface observations showing daytime warming to that threshold before evening cooling.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision or discrepancy in station reporting that shifts the verified daily maximum away from 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,666結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C high on September 15 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Mexico City monitoring stations, aligning with real-time observational data from the day.** Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service had projected afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and scattered showers, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 23–25°C. This outcome sits within normal seasonal variability, supported by surface observations showing daytime warming to that threshold before evening cooling. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision or discrepancy in station reporting that shifts the verified daily maximum away from 25°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions