**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日休斯敦的最低溫度？
9月16日休斯敦的最低溫度？
華氏71度或以下 82%
80-81華氏度 51%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏71度或以下
82%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77華氏度
21%
78-79°F
35%
80-81華氏度
27%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或更高
<1%
華氏71度或以下 82%
80-81華氏度 51%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏71度或以下
$0 交易量
82%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
40%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
40%
76-77華氏度
$0 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$204 交易量
35%
80-81華氏度
$78 交易量
27%
82-83°F
$128 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$411結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$411結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ET**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions