Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the low to mid-60s°F on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA aligns with historical September averages near 62°F, with trader sentiment clustered on 62–65°F outcomes reflecting limited expected variability from these conditions. Key differentiating factors include overnight dew point trends and any late-day cloud increases that could reduce cooling efficiency, while stronger winds or clearer skies might nudge readings toward the lower end of favored bins. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月16日紐約市的最低溫度？
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 33%
66-67°F 12%
60-61°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
55°F或以下
7%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
33%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
華氏74度或以上
1%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 33%
66-67°F 12%
60-61°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
55°F或以下
$32 交易量
7%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
6%
58-59°F
$350 交易量
4%
60-61°F
$53 交易量
9%
62-63°F
$188 交易量
33%
64-65°F
$33 交易量
42%
66-67°F
$93 交易量
12%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
1%
華氏74度或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the low to mid-60s°F on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA aligns with historical September averages near 62°F, with trader sentiment clustered on 62–65°F outcomes reflecting limited expected variability from these conditions. Key differentiating factors include overnight dew point trends and any late-day cloud increases that could reduce cooling efficiency, while stronger winds or clearer skies might nudge readings toward the lower end of favored bins. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the low to mid-60s°F on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA aligns with historical September averages near 62°F, with trader sentiment clustered on 62–65°F outcomes reflecting limited expected variability from these conditions. Key differentiating factors include overnight dew point trends and any late-day cloud increases that could reduce cooling efficiency, while stronger winds or clearer skies might nudge readings toward the lower end of favored bins. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the low to mid-60s°F on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA aligns with historical September averages near 62°F, with trader sentiment clustered on 62–65°F outcomes reflecting limited expected variability from these conditions. Key differentiating factors include overnight dew point trends and any late-day cloud increases that could reduce cooling efficiency, while stronger winds or clearer skies might nudge readings toward the lower end of favored bins. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions