Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 15 most likely in the upper 50s, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. High pressure, clear skies, and light northerly shifting to easterly winds overnight will promote radiational cooling after a daytime high near 71-72°F, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September averages for the area support lows around 60°F, but the current setup favors slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 56-61°F range heavily given stable conditions and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月15日紐約市的最低溫度？
58-59°F 41%
60-61°F 40%
62-63°F 18%
56-57°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏51度或以下
9%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
1%
華氏70度或以上
<1%
58-59°F 41%
60-61°F 40%
62-63°F 18%
56-57°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏51度或以下
$40 交易量
9%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
2%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
4%
56-57°F
$190 交易量
13%
58-59°F
$492 交易量
41%
60-61°F
$94 交易量
40%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
18%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$5 交易量
1%
華氏70度或以上
$300 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 15 most likely in the upper 50s, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. High pressure, clear skies, and light northerly shifting to easterly winds overnight will promote radiational cooling after a daytime high near 71-72°F, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September averages for the area support lows around 60°F, but the current setup favors slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 56-61°F range heavily given stable conditions and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 15 most likely in the upper 50s, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. High pressure, clear skies, and light northerly shifting to easterly winds overnight will promote radiational cooling after a daytime high near 71-72°F, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September averages for the area support lows around 60°F, but the current setup favors slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 56-61°F range heavily given stable conditions and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 15 most likely in the upper 50s, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. High pressure, clear skies, and light northerly shifting to easterly winds overnight will promote radiational cooling after a daytime high near 71-72°F, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September averages for the area support lows around 60°F, but the current setup favors slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 56-61°F range heavily given stable conditions and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions