Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 14 of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 26°C, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal late-summer warmth support the upper end of the range, though minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a degree or two of adjustment. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official Météo-France observations; further updates over the next 48 hours could shift sentiment if steering patterns or insolation change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日巴黎最高溫度？
9月14日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
2%
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$70 交易量
6%
26°C
$574 交易量
22%
27°C
$162 交易量
38%
28°C
$573 交易量
25%
29°C
$496 交易量
9%
30°C
$80 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 14 of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 26°C, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal late-summer warmth support the upper end of the range, though minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a degree or two of adjustment. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official Météo-France observations; further updates over the next 48 hours could shift sentiment if steering patterns or insolation change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,960結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 14 of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 26°C, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal late-summer warmth support the upper end of the range, though minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a degree or two of adjustment. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official Météo-France observations; further updates over the next 48 hours could shift sentiment if steering patterns or insolation change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,960結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 14 of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 26°C, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal late-summer warmth support the upper end of the range, though minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a degree or two of adjustment. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official Météo-France observations; further updates over the next 48 hours could shift sentiment if steering patterns or insolation change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions