**Current forecasts from Météo-France and global models project a daily minimum of 16°C in Paris on September 14, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 28–29°C.** This aligns with observed evening temperatures around 25–26°C and typical nocturnal cooling rates for the region in mid-September, placing the overnight low near that threshold at official stations. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 16°C reflect strong trader alignment with ensemble consensus, limited model divergence, and the absence of disruptive weather systems. A realistic challenge would require rapid increases in cloud cover, unexpected wind shifts, or measurement revisions at the reference station, though latest guidance shows no such signals before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日巴黎最低溫度？
9月14日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$7,049 交易量
$7,049 交易量
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$7,049 交易量
$7,049 交易量
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
$26 交易量
否
13°C
$16 交易量
否
14°C
$315 交易量
否
15°C
$1,473 交易量
否
16°C
$2,041 交易量
是
17°C
$1,624 交易量
否
18°C
$611 交易量
否
19°C
$943 交易量
否
20°C
$0 交易量
否
21°C
$0 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and global models project a daily minimum of 16°C in Paris on September 14, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 28–29°C.** This aligns with observed evening temperatures around 25–26°C and typical nocturnal cooling rates for the region in mid-September, placing the overnight low near that threshold at official stations. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 16°C reflect strong trader alignment with ensemble consensus, limited model divergence, and the absence of disruptive weather systems. A realistic challenge would require rapid increases in cloud cover, unexpected wind shifts, or measurement revisions at the reference station, though latest guidance shows no such signals before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,049結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and global models project a daily minimum of 16°C in Paris on September 14, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 28–29°C.** This aligns with observed evening temperatures around 25–26°C and typical nocturnal cooling rates for the region in mid-September, placing the overnight low near that threshold at official stations. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 16°C reflect strong trader alignment with ensemble consensus, limited model divergence, and the absence of disruptive weather systems. A realistic challenge would require rapid increases in cloud cover, unexpected wind shifts, or measurement revisions at the reference station, though latest guidance shows no such signals before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,049結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and global models project a daily minimum of 16°C in Paris on September 14, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 28–29°C.** This aligns with observed evening temperatures around 25–26°C and typical nocturnal cooling rates for the region in mid-September, placing the overnight low near that threshold at official stations. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% on 16°C reflect strong trader alignment with ensemble consensus, limited model divergence, and the absence of disruptive weather systems. A realistic challenge would require rapid increases in cloud cover, unexpected wind shifts, or measurement revisions at the reference station, though latest guidance shows no such signals before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions