Recent European model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13 °C on September 17 as a cooler southwesterly flow replaces the current warm air mass. Increasing cloud cover and light winds will limit radiative cooling while surface pressure gradients remain modest, keeping the low above the long-term September average of 11.4 °C. Ensemble spreads show the largest uncertainty between 11 °C and 14 °C depending on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression. Météo-France guidance and the next model cycle expected later today will refine whether the minimum settles at 12 °C or edges lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日巴黎最低溫度？
9月17日巴黎最低溫度？
11°C 40%
12°C 35%
14°C 25%
9°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
17%
9°C
20%
10°C
18%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
17%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C或以上
2%
11°C 40%
12°C 35%
14°C 25%
9°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
17%
9°C
$0 交易量
20%
10°C
$74 交易量
18%
11°C
$180 交易量
35%
12°C
$84 交易量
35%
13°C
$8 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
25%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13 °C on September 17 as a cooler southwesterly flow replaces the current warm air mass. Increasing cloud cover and light winds will limit radiative cooling while surface pressure gradients remain modest, keeping the low above the long-term September average of 11.4 °C. Ensemble spreads show the largest uncertainty between 11 °C and 14 °C depending on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression. Météo-France guidance and the next model cycle expected later today will refine whether the minimum settles at 12 °C or edges lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$346結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13 °C on September 17 as a cooler southwesterly flow replaces the current warm air mass. Increasing cloud cover and light winds will limit radiative cooling while surface pressure gradients remain modest, keeping the low above the long-term September average of 11.4 °C. Ensemble spreads show the largest uncertainty between 11 °C and 14 °C depending on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression. Météo-France guidance and the next model cycle expected later today will refine whether the minimum settles at 12 °C or edges lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$346結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent European model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13 °C on September 17 as a cooler southwesterly flow replaces the current warm air mass. Increasing cloud cover and light winds will limit radiative cooling while surface pressure gradients remain modest, keeping the low above the long-term September average of 11.4 °C. Ensemble spreads show the largest uncertainty between 11 °C and 14 °C depending on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression. Météo-France guidance and the next model cycle expected later today will refine whether the minimum settles at 12 °C or edges lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions