Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日巴黎最低溫度？
9月15日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 99.5%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 交易量
$7,390 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
16°C 99.5%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 交易量
$7,390 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
$98 交易量
否
12°C
$118 交易量
否
13°C
$198 交易量
否
14°C
$260 交易量
否
15°C
$767 交易量
否
16°C
$1,318 交易量
是
17°C
$1,913 交易量
否
18°C
$1,412 交易量
否
19°C
$430 交易量
否
20°C
$790 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$86 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$7,390結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,390結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions