**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in Paris on September 18, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling.** This follows a recent cool-down after mid-September warmth, with a northwest maritime air mass keeping daytime highs around 21–22°C and suppressing the diurnal range. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4°C for the date, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 45% and 11°C at 35% implied probability, reflects model spread and the chance of localized cooling or slight forecast adjustments before resolution, while the smaller shares for 13°C and 10°C capture remaining uncertainty in ensemble runs. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the focus on these central outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日巴黎最低溫度？
9月18日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 46%
11°C 35%
13°C 13%
10°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
35%
12°C
46%
13°C
13%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或以上
2%
12°C 46%
11°C 35%
13°C 13%
10°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
8°C
$0 交易量
3%
9°C
$0 交易量
3%
10°C
$103 交易量
4%
11°C
$924 交易量
35%
12°C
$491 交易量
46%
13°C
$328 交易量
13%
14°C
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in Paris on September 18, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling.** This follows a recent cool-down after mid-September warmth, with a northwest maritime air mass keeping daytime highs around 21–22°C and suppressing the diurnal range.
Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4°C for the date, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 45% and 11°C at 35% implied probability, reflects model spread and the chance of localized cooling or slight forecast adjustments before resolution, while the smaller shares for 13°C and 10°C capture remaining uncertainty in ensemble runs. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the focus on these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,845結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in Paris on September 18, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling.** This follows a recent cool-down after mid-September warmth, with a northwest maritime air mass keeping daytime highs around 21–22°C and suppressing the diurnal range.
Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4°C for the date, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 45% and 11°C at 35% implied probability, reflects model spread and the chance of localized cooling or slight forecast adjustments before resolution, while the smaller shares for 13°C and 10°C capture remaining uncertainty in ensemble runs. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the focus on these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,845結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in Paris on September 18, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling.** This follows a recent cool-down after mid-September warmth, with a northwest maritime air mass keeping daytime highs around 21–22°C and suppressing the diurnal range. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4°C for the date, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 45% and 11°C at 35% implied probability, reflects model spread and the chance of localized cooling or slight forecast adjustments before resolution, while the smaller shares for 13°C and 10°C capture remaining uncertainty in ensemble runs. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the focus on these central outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions