Recent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate Paris overnight lows on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of similar mild conditions with minima around 12–14 °C and supports the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced at 25 % for 10 °C or below, though no strong cold advection or clear-sky setup appears imminent. Updated model runs and observational data through September 18 will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日巴黎最低溫度？
9月19日巴黎最低溫度？
10°C或以下 42%
11°C 39%
13°C 39%
15°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
42%
11°C
39%
12°C
27%
13°C
39%
14°C
26%
15°C
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
34%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C或以上
2%
10°C或以下 42%
11°C 39%
13°C 39%
15°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
42%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$115 交易量
39%
14°C
$25 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
34%
16°C
$0 交易量
34%
17°C
$0 交易量
34%
18°C
$0 交易量
3%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate Paris overnight lows on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of similar mild conditions with minima around 12–14 °C and supports the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced at 25 % for 10 °C or below, though no strong cold advection or clear-sky setup appears imminent. Updated model runs and observational data through September 18 will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$141結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate Paris overnight lows on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of similar mild conditions with minima around 12–14 °C and supports the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced at 25 % for 10 °C or below, though no strong cold advection or clear-sky setup appears imminent. Updated model runs and observational data through September 18 will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$141結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate Paris overnight lows on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of similar mild conditions with minima around 12–14 °C and supports the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context for the modest downside risk priced at 25 % for 10 °C or below, though no strong cold advection or clear-sky setup appears imminent. Updated model runs and observational data through September 18 will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions