Forecast models from GFS and regional sources project partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 19 with southwesterly flow and surface pressures near 1020 hPa, supporting a daytime maximum near 25°C. This consensus places the 25°C bin at the highest market-implied probability, ahead of 24°C and 26°C outcomes. The projected high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 21°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal advection without extreme heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread in afternoon temperatures, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable thermal profiles through the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日巴黎最高溫度？
9月19日巴黎最高溫度？
25°C 59%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
23°C 2%
最新
$15,267 交易量
最新
$15,267 交易量
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
59%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 59%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
23°C 2%
最新
$15,267 交易量
最新
$15,267 交易量
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
$625 交易量
<1%
22°C
$497 交易量
1%
23°C
$729 交易量
2%
24°C
$3,255 交易量
22%
25°C
$3,285 交易量
59%
26°C
$3,305 交易量
16%
27°C
$997 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,028 交易量
1%
29°C
$155 交易量
<1%
30°C
$145 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$1,247 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and regional sources project partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 19 with southwesterly flow and surface pressures near 1020 hPa, supporting a daytime maximum near 25°C. This consensus places the 25°C bin at the highest market-implied probability, ahead of 24°C and 26°C outcomes. The projected high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 21°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal advection without extreme heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread in afternoon temperatures, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable thermal profiles through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,267結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and regional sources project partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 19 with southwesterly flow and surface pressures near 1020 hPa, supporting a daytime maximum near 25°C. This consensus places the 25°C bin at the highest market-implied probability, ahead of 24°C and 26°C outcomes. The projected high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 21°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal advection without extreme heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread in afternoon temperatures, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable thermal profiles through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,267結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from GFS and regional sources project partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 19 with southwesterly flow and surface pressures near 1020 hPa, supporting a daytime maximum near 25°C. This consensus places the 25°C bin at the highest market-implied probability, ahead of 24°C and 26°C outcomes. The projected high sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 21°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal advection without extreme heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread in afternoon temperatures, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable thermal profiles through the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions