Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models places Helsinki’s September 17 maximum near 16 °C under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs reach 15–17 °C, and prevent stronger warming that would favor 18 °C or higher. Market-implied odds concentrate on 17 °C (57.5 %) and 16 °C (35.0 %) because recent model runs show only modest afternoon peaks around 15–16 °C, with limited upside from southerly advection offset by high humidity and precipitation probability. Updated guidance issued September 16 reinforces this narrow range, keeping lower outcomes improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky surge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
9月17日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
17°C 57%
16°C 36%
15°C 4%
18°C 3%
最新
$15,206 交易量
最新
$15,206 交易量
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
36%
17°C
57%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
17°C 57%
16°C 36%
15°C 4%
18°C 3%
最新
$15,206 交易量
最新
$15,206 交易量
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
$491 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,002 交易量
<1%
13°C
$691 交易量
1%
14°C
$810 交易量
1%
15°C
$973 交易量
4%
16°C
$4,394 交易量
36%
17°C
$3,215 交易量
57%
18°C
$879 交易量
3%
19°C
$979 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,287 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$486 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models places Helsinki’s September 17 maximum near 16 °C under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs reach 15–17 °C, and prevent stronger warming that would favor 18 °C or higher. Market-implied odds concentrate on 17 °C (57.5 %) and 16 °C (35.0 %) because recent model runs show only modest afternoon peaks around 15–16 °C, with limited upside from southerly advection offset by high humidity and precipitation probability. Updated guidance issued September 16 reinforces this narrow range, keeping lower outcomes improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,206結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models places Helsinki’s September 17 maximum near 16 °C under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs reach 15–17 °C, and prevent stronger warming that would favor 18 °C or higher. Market-implied odds concentrate on 17 °C (57.5 %) and 16 °C (35.0 %) because recent model runs show only modest afternoon peaks around 15–16 °C, with limited upside from southerly advection offset by high humidity and precipitation probability. Updated guidance issued September 16 reinforces this narrow range, keeping lower outcomes improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,206結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models places Helsinki’s September 17 maximum near 16 °C under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs reach 15–17 °C, and prevent stronger warming that would favor 18 °C or higher. Market-implied odds concentrate on 17 °C (57.5 %) and 16 °C (35.0 %) because recent model runs show only modest afternoon peaks around 15–16 °C, with limited upside from southerly advection offset by high humidity and precipitation probability. Updated guidance issued September 16 reinforces this narrow range, keeping lower outcomes improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky surge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions