Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity across Chengdu have maintained overnight temperatures near 19°C on September 14, 2026, according to multiple forecast models and real-time observations. Stable northerly winds and a lack of clear-sky radiative cooling have prevented the typical post-sunset drop below this level, aligning with historical September baselines for the region where lows average around 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus from official meteorological data, with traders viewing the outcome as effectively resolved absent any late-day measurement revision. An unexpected clearing of skies or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日成都最低溫度?
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$617 交易量
$617 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$617 交易量
$617 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity across Chengdu have maintained overnight temperatures near 19°C on September 14, 2026, according to multiple forecast models and real-time observations. Stable northerly winds and a lack of clear-sky radiative cooling have prevented the typical post-sunset drop below this level, aligning with historical September baselines for the region where lows average around 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus from official meteorological data, with traders viewing the outcome as effectively resolved absent any late-day measurement revision. An unexpected clearing of skies or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions