**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
22°C 38%
21°C或以下 29%
23°C 23%
24°C 8%
$29,291 交易量
$29,291 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
29%
22°C
38%
23°C
23%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
22°C 38%
21°C或以下 29%
23°C 23%
24°C 8%
$29,291 交易量
$29,291 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
$7,976 交易量
29%
22°C
$2,017 交易量
38%
23°C
$2,758 交易量
23%
24°C
$7,132 交易量
8%
25°C
$2,677 交易量
2%
26°C
$410 交易量
<1%
27°C
$868 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,270 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,471 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,527 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,291結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,291結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions