Traders assign near-certainty to a 98-99°F high in Dallas on September 13 because National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations from the prior 48 hours showed a stable high-pressure ridge dominating north Texas, with light southerly flow, clear skies, and dew points supporting only modest warm advection. This aligned with mid-September climatology, where Dallas averages near 90°F and recent warm anomalies lacked the strength for a 100°F+ spike. The slim 0.1% odds on 100-101°F reflect the low likelihood of forecast busts from unmodeled downslope effects or rapid ridge shifts, though final Dallas-Fort Worth Airport readings could still adjust the official maximum within normal verification tolerances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月13日達拉斯的最高溫度？
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$59,675 交易量
$59,675 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
是
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108°F或以上
否
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$59,675 交易量
$59,675 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
$103 交易量
否
90-91°F
$211 交易量
否
92-93°F
$308 交易量
否
94-95°F
$663 交易量
否
96-97°F
$3,690 交易量
否
98-99°F
$20,853 交易量
是
100-101°F
$15,932 交易量
否
102-103°F
$8,383 交易量
否
104-105°F
$5,458 交易量
否
106-107°F
$2,402 交易量
否
108°F或以上
$1,673 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 98-99°F high in Dallas on September 13 because National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations from the prior 48 hours showed a stable high-pressure ridge dominating north Texas, with light southerly flow, clear skies, and dew points supporting only modest warm advection. This aligned with mid-September climatology, where Dallas averages near 90°F and recent warm anomalies lacked the strength for a 100°F+ spike. The slim 0.1% odds on 100-101°F reflect the low likelihood of forecast busts from unmodeled downslope effects or rapid ridge shifts, though final Dallas-Fort Worth Airport readings could still adjust the official maximum within normal verification tolerances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$59,675結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 98-99°F high in Dallas on September 13 because National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations from the prior 48 hours showed a stable high-pressure ridge dominating north Texas, with light southerly flow, clear skies, and dew points supporting only modest warm advection. This aligned with mid-September climatology, where Dallas averages near 90°F and recent warm anomalies lacked the strength for a 100°F+ spike. The slim 0.1% odds on 100-101°F reflect the low likelihood of forecast busts from unmodeled downslope effects or rapid ridge shifts, though final Dallas-Fort Worth Airport readings could still adjust the official maximum within normal verification tolerances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,675結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certainty to a 98-99°F high in Dallas on September 13 because National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations from the prior 48 hours showed a stable high-pressure ridge dominating north Texas, with light southerly flow, clear skies, and dew points supporting only modest warm advection. This aligned with mid-September climatology, where Dallas averages near 90°F and recent warm anomalies lacked the strength for a 100°F+ spike. The slim 0.1% odds on 100-101°F reflect the low likelihood of forecast busts from unmodeled downslope effects or rapid ridge shifts, though final Dallas-Fort Worth Airport readings could still adjust the official maximum within normal verification tolerances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions