Recent atmospheric conditions in Chengdu, including persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity near 70-80%, are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in a narrow range around 17-20°C according to official monitoring. Model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong cold air advection, with historical September baselines for the region featuring lows typically near 18-20°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 18°C and cooler thresholds near 16°C or below, as small shifts in observed dew points or wind speeds could tip the final recorded minimum across resolution boundaries. Updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments from local meteorological agencies will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日成都最低溫度？
9月13日成都最低溫度？
18°C 99%
14°C或以下 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$689 交易量
$689 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
18°C 99%
14°C或以下 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$689 交易量
$689 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
15°C
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$15 交易量
否
17°C
$57 交易量
否
18°C
$242 交易量
是
19°C
$260 交易量
否
20°C
$55 交易量
否
21°C
$15 交易量
否
22°C
$15 交易量
否
23°C
$15 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions in Chengdu, including persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity near 70-80%, are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in a narrow range around 17-20°C according to official monitoring. Model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong cold air advection, with historical September baselines for the region featuring lows typically near 18-20°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 18°C and cooler thresholds near 16°C or below, as small shifts in observed dew points or wind speeds could tip the final recorded minimum across resolution boundaries. Updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments from local meteorological agencies will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$689結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions in Chengdu, including persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity near 70-80%, are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in a narrow range around 17-20°C according to official monitoring. Model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong cold air advection, with historical September baselines for the region featuring lows typically near 18-20°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 18°C and cooler thresholds near 16°C or below, as small shifts in observed dew points or wind speeds could tip the final recorded minimum across resolution boundaries. Updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments from local meteorological agencies will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$689結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent atmospheric conditions in Chengdu, including persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity near 70-80%, are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in a narrow range around 17-20°C according to official monitoring. Model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong cold air advection, with historical September baselines for the region featuring lows typically near 18-20°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 18°C and cooler thresholds near 16°C or below, as small shifts in observed dew points or wind speeds could tip the final recorded minimum across resolution boundaries. Updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments from local meteorological agencies will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions