Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月14日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$25,518 交易量
$25,518 交易量
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$25,518 交易量
$25,518 交易量
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
$419 交易量
否
15°C
$233 交易量
否
16°C
$780 交易量
否
17°C
$3,179 交易量
否
18°C
$7,709 交易量
是
19°C
$7,930 交易量
否
20°C
$3,899 交易量
否
21°C
$345 交易量
否
22°C
$256 交易量
否
23°C
$438 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$329 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$25,518結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,518結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions