Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and the absence of a strong cold front. These conditions produce a moderated diurnal range typical of mid-September transitional weather, with historical September lows averaging near 17–18°C but current patterns running several degrees warmer. Model consensus supports the 19–20°C band as the most probable outcome, while deviations would require unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月18日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
2%
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$101 交易量
1%
16°C
$257 交易量
2%
17°C
$112 交易量
2%
18°C
$73 交易量
9%
19°C
$815 交易量
32%
20°C
$957 交易量
44%
21°C
$397 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$65 交易量
1%
25°C或以上
$53 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and the absence of a strong cold front. These conditions produce a moderated diurnal range typical of mid-September transitional weather, with historical September lows averaging near 17–18°C but current patterns running several degrees warmer. Model consensus supports the 19–20°C band as the most probable outcome, while deviations would require unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,831結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and the absence of a strong cold front. These conditions produce a moderated diurnal range typical of mid-September transitional weather, with historical September lows averaging near 17–18°C but current patterns running several degrees warmer. Model consensus supports the 19–20°C band as the most probable outcome, while deviations would require unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,831結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and the absence of a strong cold front. These conditions produce a moderated diurnal range typical of mid-September transitional weather, with historical September lows averaging near 17–18°C but current patterns running several degrees warmer. Model consensus supports the 19–20°C band as the most probable outcome, while deviations would require unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions