Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Korean Peninsula on September 17, 2026, with easterly winds and partly cloudy skies promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul area, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature swings. The market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C reflects trader alignment with these verified observational trends and short-term model runs. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or calm conditions might allow a dip toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月17日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
18°C 99%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,483 交易量
$20,483 交易量
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
18°C 99%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,483 交易量
$20,483 交易量
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$963 交易量
1%
15°C
$884 交易量
<1%
16°C
$478 交易量
1%
17°C
$2,118 交易量
1%
18°C
$2,626 交易量
99%
19°C
$9,403 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,411 交易量
<1%
21°C
$228 交易量
<1%
22°C
$103 交易量
<1%
23°C
$165 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$103 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Korean Peninsula on September 17, 2026, with easterly winds and partly cloudy skies promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul area, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature swings. The market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C reflects trader alignment with these verified observational trends and short-term model runs. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or calm conditions might allow a dip toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$20,483結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Korean Peninsula on September 17, 2026, with easterly winds and partly cloudy skies promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul area, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature swings. The market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C reflects trader alignment with these verified observational trends and short-term model runs. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or calm conditions might allow a dip toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,483結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Korean Peninsula on September 17, 2026, with easterly winds and partly cloudy skies promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul area, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature swings. The market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C reflects trader alignment with these verified observational trends and short-term model runs. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies or calm conditions might allow a dip toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions