**Official meteorological observations for Seoul-Incheon on September 19, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature of 20°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time station reports from the region, including Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites, recorded overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and dew points around 13–16°C. This matches typical mid-September climatology for the area, where average minima hover near 17–19°C but can run warmer during stable high-pressure setups. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements and the absence of any late-day cooling that could drop readings below 19°C. Only an unexpected measurement revision from the primary reporting station or a highly localized microclimate anomaly would realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月19日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,479 交易量
$14,479 交易量
2026-09-19
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,479 交易量
$14,479 交易量
2026-09-19
14°C或以下
$51 交易量
否
15°C
$51 交易量
否
16°C
$402 交易量
否
17°C
$509 交易量
否
18°C
$893 交易量
否
19°C
$4,789 交易量
否
20°C
$3,983 交易量
是
21°C
$2,463 交易量
否
22°C
$496 交易量
否
23°C
$791 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$51 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for Seoul-Incheon on September 19, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature of 20°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time station reports from the region, including Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites, recorded overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and dew points around 13–16°C. This matches typical mid-September climatology for the area, where average minima hover near 17–19°C but can run warmer during stable high-pressure setups. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements and the absence of any late-day cooling that could drop readings below 19°C. Only an unexpected measurement revision from the primary reporting station or a highly localized microclimate anomaly would realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$14,479結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for Seoul-Incheon on September 19, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature of 20°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time station reports from the region, including Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites, recorded overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and dew points around 13–16°C. This matches typical mid-September climatology for the area, where average minima hover near 17–19°C but can run warmer during stable high-pressure setups. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements and the absence of any late-day cooling that could drop readings below 19°C. Only an unexpected measurement revision from the primary reporting station or a highly localized microclimate anomaly would realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,479結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official meteorological observations for Seoul-Incheon on September 19, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature of 20°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time station reports from the region, including Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites, recorded overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and dew points around 13–16°C. This matches typical mid-September climatology for the area, where average minima hover near 17–19°C but can run warmer during stable high-pressure setups. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements and the absence of any late-day cooling that could drop readings below 19°C. Only an unexpected measurement revision from the primary reporting station or a highly localized microclimate anomaly would realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions