Cloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日武漢氣溫最高？
9月22日武漢氣溫最高？
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
23%
25°C
21%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
2%
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$11 交易量
11%
23°C
$76 交易量
26%
24°C
$5 交易量
23%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$0 交易量
15%
27°C
$0 交易量
11%
28°C
$20 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$14 交易量
2%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$126結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$126結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions