Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent cold-air advection and precipitation lowered readings into the low 20s earlier in the week, but a gradual warming trend under moderating high pressure is expected to stabilize overnight lows around this level rather than allowing further drops or sharp rebounds. High humidity and minimal wind shear reduce the potential for either extreme cooling or rapid warming, keeping the outcome centered in the 21–23°C range despite market odds splitting between sub-17°C and 27°C-plus scenarios. Updated model runs from official agencies will provide the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日武漢最低氣溫?
17°C或以下 100%
27°C或以上 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
17°C或以下
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C或以上
100%
17°C或以下 100%
27°C或以上 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
17°C或以下
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C或以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent cold-air advection and precipitation lowered readings into the low 20s earlier in the week, but a gradual warming trend under moderating high pressure is expected to stabilize overnight lows around this level rather than allowing further drops or sharp rebounds. High humidity and minimal wind shear reduce the potential for either extreme cooling or rapid warming, keeping the outcome centered in the 21–23°C range despite market odds splitting between sub-17°C and 27°C-plus scenarios. Updated model runs from official agencies will provide the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions