Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Beijing on September 22, driven by southerly flow, light winds under 5 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where highs typically range 25–29°C, though persistent warmth has kept readings slightly above average. The market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C (combined ~78%) reflects trader consensus on forecast stability, with limited spread among runs and minimal risk of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日北京最高溫度？
9月22日北京最高溫度？
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$115 交易量
<1%
26°C
$116 交易量
<1%
27°C
$101 交易量
<1%
28°C
$284 交易量
3%
29°C
$790 交易量
16%
30°C
$1,357 交易量
45%
31°C
$946 交易量
32%
32°C
$360 交易量
9%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$78 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Beijing on September 22, driven by southerly flow, light winds under 5 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where highs typically range 25–29°C, though persistent warmth has kept readings slightly above average. The market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C (combined ~78%) reflects trader consensus on forecast stability, with limited spread among runs and minimal risk of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,257結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Beijing on September 22, driven by southerly flow, light winds under 5 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where highs typically range 25–29°C, though persistent warmth has kept readings slightly above average. The market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C (combined ~78%) reflects trader consensus on forecast stability, with limited spread among runs and minimal risk of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,257結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Beijing on September 22, driven by southerly flow, light winds under 5 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This aligns with late-September climatology, where highs typically range 25–29°C, though persistent warmth has kept readings slightly above average. The market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C (combined ~78%) reflects trader consensus on forecast stability, with limited spread among runs and minimal risk of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions