**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日巴黎最低溫度？
9月12日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,225 交易量
$18,225 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,225 交易量
$18,225 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
$95 交易量
否
9°C
$15 交易量
否
10°C
$95 交易量
否
11°C
$1,258 交易量
否
12°C
$2,440 交易量
是
13°C
$11,518 交易量
否
14°C
$2,519 交易量
否
15°C
$234 交易量
否
16°C
$35 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18,225結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,225結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions