Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high near 14°C for Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable spring conditions typical for the region. This positions 14–15°C as the market’s leading outcomes, with traders assigning 62% implied probability to 15°C amid minor model spread and potential for localized warming under clearer skies. Historical September maxima average 18–20°C, so current cooler readings reflect transient high-pressure influence rather than seasonal norms. Key upcoming factors include afternoon observational updates and any late-day model revisions that could shift resolution toward the upper or lower edge of the narrow 13–16°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
15°C 52%
14°C 40%
16°C 8%
13°C 2%
$11,105 交易量
$11,105 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
40%
15°C
52%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 52%
14°C 40%
16°C 8%
13°C 2%
$11,105 交易量
$11,105 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
40%
15°C
52%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high near 14°C for Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable spring conditions typical for the region. This positions 14–15°C as the market’s leading outcomes, with traders assigning 62% implied probability to 15°C amid minor model spread and potential for localized warming under clearer skies. Historical September maxima average 18–20°C, so current cooler readings reflect transient high-pressure influence rather than seasonal norms. Key upcoming factors include afternoon observational updates and any late-day model revisions that could shift resolution toward the upper or lower edge of the narrow 13–16°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions