Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 58°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied odds for the 58-59°F bin. This value sat 2°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F amid typical September marine-layer influence, which moderates overnight cooling through persistent onshore flow and high humidity. NOAA data showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling events that would push readings into lower bins. The strong consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with limited scope for revision unless alternate urban stations or post-processing adjustments differ materially from the primary record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日舊金山的最低溫度？
9月16日舊金山的最低溫度？
58-59°F 98%
49°F或更低 90%
54-55°F 18%
52-53°F 13%
$3,341 交易量
$3,341 交易量
2026-09-16
49°F或更低
90%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
-
58-59°F
98%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F或以上
<1%
58-59°F 98%
49°F或更低 90%
54-55°F 18%
52-53°F 13%
$3,341 交易量
$3,341 交易量
2026-09-16
49°F或更低
$0 交易量
90%
50-51°F
$56 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$10 交易量
13%
54-55°F
$20 交易量
18%
56-57°F
$127 交易量
-
58-59°F
$259 交易量
98%
60-61°F
$2,811 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$57 交易量
<1%
68°F或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 58°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied odds for the 58-59°F bin. This value sat 2°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F amid typical September marine-layer influence, which moderates overnight cooling through persistent onshore flow and high humidity. NOAA data showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling events that would push readings into lower bins. The strong consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with limited scope for revision unless alternate urban stations or post-processing adjustments differ materially from the primary record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,341結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 58°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied odds for the 58-59°F bin. This value sat 2°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F amid typical September marine-layer influence, which moderates overnight cooling through persistent onshore flow and high humidity. NOAA data showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling events that would push readings into lower bins. The strong consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with limited scope for revision unless alternate urban stations or post-processing adjustments differ materially from the primary record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,341結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETOfficial observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 58°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied odds for the 58-59°F bin. This value sat 2°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 56°F amid typical September marine-layer influence, which moderates overnight cooling through persistent onshore flow and high humidity. NOAA data showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling events that would push readings into lower bins. The strong consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with limited scope for revision unless alternate urban stations or post-processing adjustments differ materially from the primary record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions