Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 67°F in Seattle on September 11, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore southwesterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating under overcast skies with only a slight drizzle chance. This setup follows several days of mild conditions after an early-September peak near 75°F, keeping temperatures close to or slightly below the 71.7°F climatological average for the date. The 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins together capture over 70% of trader probability because ensemble guidance shows little spread around these values, with upside limited by the stable boundary layer and downside capped by residual warmth. Any last-minute clearing or stronger offshore flow could nudge readings into the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models favor the lower end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日西雅圖的最高溫度?
66-67華氏度 40%
68-69°F 35%
64-65華氏度 13%
70-71°F 8%
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65華氏度
13%
66-67華氏度
40%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
3%
74-75華氏度
1%
76°F或以上
<1%
66-67華氏度 40%
68-69°F 35%
64-65華氏度 13%
70-71°F 8%
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65華氏度
13%
66-67華氏度
40%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
3%
74-75華氏度
1%
76°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 67°F in Seattle on September 11, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore southwesterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating under overcast skies with only a slight drizzle chance. This setup follows several days of mild conditions after an early-September peak near 75°F, keeping temperatures close to or slightly below the 71.7°F climatological average for the date. The 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins together capture over 70% of trader probability because ensemble guidance shows little spread around these values, with upside limited by the stable boundary layer and downside capped by residual warmth. Any last-minute clearing or stronger offshore flow could nudge readings into the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models favor the lower end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions