Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliated sources indicate a high near 83°F for Denver on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southeast winds. This aligns with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 38% implied probability, as recent observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 80s after early September warmth moderated. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991-2020 average high of 80.3°F, supported by stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture return. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent against minor model variability in peak heating, with afternoon observations likely to confirm resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日丹佛的最高溫度？
9月12日丹佛的最高溫度？
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 13%
$12,861 交易量
$12,861 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75華氏度
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或以上
<1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 13%
$12,861 交易量
$12,861 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏73度或以下
$514 交易量
<1%
74-75華氏度
$590 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$296 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,337 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$1,078 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$3,148 交易量
38%
84-85°F
$2,679 交易量
28%
86-87°F
$1,948 交易量
13%
88-89°F
$659 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$201 交易量
1%
92°F或以上
$410 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliated sources indicate a high near 83°F for Denver on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southeast winds. This aligns with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 38% implied probability, as recent observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 80s after early September warmth moderated. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991-2020 average high of 80.3°F, supported by stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture return. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent against minor model variability in peak heating, with afternoon observations likely to confirm resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,861結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliated sources indicate a high near 83°F for Denver on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southeast winds. This aligns with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 38% implied probability, as recent observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 80s after early September warmth moderated. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991-2020 average high of 80.3°F, supported by stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture return. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent against minor model variability in peak heating, with afternoon observations likely to confirm resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,861結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliated sources indicate a high near 83°F for Denver on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southeast winds. This aligns with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 38% implied probability, as recent observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 80s after early September warmth moderated. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991-2020 average high of 80.3°F, supported by stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture return. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent against minor model variability in peak heating, with afternoon observations likely to confirm resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions