The market-implied odds heavily favor a Denver low of 52-53°F on September 12 due to National Weather Service observations placing the minimum at 50°F, just below the leading bin but well within the narrow range of expected late-summer variability. Clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions under a typical early-September high-pressure pattern limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while preventing the warmer readings associated with stronger southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 50.7°F for the date, with model consensus and real-time station data reinforcing the tight clustering around the low 50s rather than extremes. Traders appear to have weighted recent dry, stable atmospheric conditions and historical analogs over any marginal forecast shifts, with resolution now hinging on final official verification from the Denver station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日丹佛的最低溫度？
9月12日丹佛的最低溫度？
52-53華氏度 90%
華氏51度或以下 1.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$2,634 交易量
$2,634 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏51度或以下
否
52-53華氏度
是
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69華氏度
否
華氏70度或以上
否
52-53華氏度 90%
華氏51度或以下 1.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$2,634 交易量
$2,634 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏51度或以下
$104 交易量
否
52-53華氏度
$275 交易量
是
54-55°F
$61 交易量
否
56-57°F
$15 交易量
否
58-59°F
$2,000 交易量
否
60-61°F
$180 交易量
否
62-63°F
$0 交易量
否
64-65°F
$0 交易量
否
66-67°F
$0 交易量
否
68-69華氏度
$0 交易量
否
華氏70度或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds heavily favor a Denver low of 52-53°F on September 12 due to National Weather Service observations placing the minimum at 50°F, just below the leading bin but well within the narrow range of expected late-summer variability. Clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions under a typical early-September high-pressure pattern limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while preventing the warmer readings associated with stronger southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 50.7°F for the date, with model consensus and real-time station data reinforcing the tight clustering around the low 50s rather than extremes. Traders appear to have weighted recent dry, stable atmospheric conditions and historical analogs over any marginal forecast shifts, with resolution now hinging on final official verification from the Denver station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,634結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds heavily favor a Denver low of 52-53°F on September 12 due to National Weather Service observations placing the minimum at 50°F, just below the leading bin but well within the narrow range of expected late-summer variability. Clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions under a typical early-September high-pressure pattern limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while preventing the warmer readings associated with stronger southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 50.7°F for the date, with model consensus and real-time station data reinforcing the tight clustering around the low 50s rather than extremes. Traders appear to have weighted recent dry, stable atmospheric conditions and historical analogs over any marginal forecast shifts, with resolution now hinging on final official verification from the Denver station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,634結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market-implied odds heavily favor a Denver low of 52-53°F on September 12 due to National Weather Service observations placing the minimum at 50°F, just below the leading bin but well within the narrow range of expected late-summer variability. Clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions under a typical early-September high-pressure pattern limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further while preventing the warmer readings associated with stronger southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 50.7°F for the date, with model consensus and real-time station data reinforcing the tight clustering around the low 50s rather than extremes. Traders appear to have weighted recent dry, stable atmospheric conditions and historical analogs over any marginal forecast shifts, with resolution now hinging on final official verification from the Denver station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions