Recent official forecasts and hourly observations from meteorological sources indicate Beijing reached a daily maximum of 31°C on September 10 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity near 20% during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with model consensus projecting modest warming from a 16–18°C morning low, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages hover near 27°C but recent dry conditions have supported higher readings. The market's near-certain positioning on 31°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of these verified data streams. Potential challenges include final post-processing revisions by monitoring agencies or minor station-to-station variations exceeding 1°C, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日北京最高溫度？
9月10日北京最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$85,443 交易量
$85,443 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$85,443 交易量
$85,443 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$1,785 交易量
否
25°C
$2,492 交易量
否
26°C
$3,858 交易量
否
27°C
$3,791 交易量
否
28°C
$9,477 交易量
否
29°C
$8,968 交易量
否
30°C
$25,300 交易量
否
31°C
$14,847 交易量
是
32°C
$13,045 交易量
否
33°C
$1,054 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$826 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and hourly observations from meteorological sources indicate Beijing reached a daily maximum of 31°C on September 10 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity near 20% during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with model consensus projecting modest warming from a 16–18°C morning low, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages hover near 27°C but recent dry conditions have supported higher readings. The market's near-certain positioning on 31°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of these verified data streams. Potential challenges include final post-processing revisions by monitoring agencies or minor station-to-station variations exceeding 1°C, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$85,443結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and hourly observations from meteorological sources indicate Beijing reached a daily maximum of 31°C on September 10 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity near 20% during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with model consensus projecting modest warming from a 16–18°C morning low, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages hover near 27°C but recent dry conditions have supported higher readings. The market's near-certain positioning on 31°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of these verified data streams. Potential challenges include final post-processing revisions by monitoring agencies or minor station-to-station variations exceeding 1°C, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85,443結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts and hourly observations from meteorological sources indicate Beijing reached a daily maximum of 31°C on September 10 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity near 20% during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with model consensus projecting modest warming from a 16–18°C morning low, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages hover near 27°C but recent dry conditions have supported higher readings. The market's near-certain positioning on 31°C reflects aggregated trader assessment of these verified data streams. Potential challenges include final post-processing revisions by monitoring agencies or minor station-to-station variations exceeding 1°C, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions