**Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services indicate Austin will reach a daily high near 100–101°F on September 12, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Strong September solar heating combined with above-average humidity is expected to produce peak temperatures in the low 100s, consistent with recent daily highs near 100–101°F earlier in the month. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat-index values above 105°F despite modest afternoon cloud cover. Historical data show an average high of about 92°F for the date, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth driven by persistent subtropical air. With resolution based on official airport observations, traders have placed the strongest implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, aligning with the narrow consensus range across updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月12日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101華氏度 52%
102-103華氏度 39%
98-99華氏度 10%
104-105°F 2.3%
$26,273 交易量
$26,273 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99華氏度
10%
100-101華氏度
52%
102-103華氏度
39%
104-105°F
2%
106-107華氏度
1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
100-101華氏度 52%
102-103華氏度 39%
98-99華氏度 10%
104-105°F 2.3%
$26,273 交易量
$26,273 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏91度或以下
$389 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$438 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$792 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$498 交易量
<1%
98-99華氏度
$4,166 交易量
10%
100-101華氏度
$7,174 交易量
52%
102-103華氏度
$7,655 交易量
39%
104-105°F
$2,783 交易量
2%
106-107華氏度
$1,744 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$276 交易量
<1%
華氏110度或更高
$421 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services indicate Austin will reach a daily high near 100–101°F on September 12, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Strong September solar heating combined with above-average humidity is expected to produce peak temperatures in the low 100s, consistent with recent daily highs near 100–101°F earlier in the month. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat-index values above 105°F despite modest afternoon cloud cover. Historical data show an average high of about 92°F for the date, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth driven by persistent subtropical air. With resolution based on official airport observations, traders have placed the strongest implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, aligning with the narrow consensus range across updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$26,273結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services indicate Austin will reach a daily high near 100–101°F on September 12, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Strong September solar heating combined with above-average humidity is expected to produce peak temperatures in the low 100s, consistent with recent daily highs near 100–101°F earlier in the month. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat-index values above 105°F despite modest afternoon cloud cover. Historical data show an average high of about 92°F for the date, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth driven by persistent subtropical air. With resolution based on official airport observations, traders have placed the strongest implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, aligning with the narrow consensus range across updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,273結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services indicate Austin will reach a daily high near 100–101°F on September 12, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Strong September solar heating combined with above-average humidity is expected to produce peak temperatures in the low 100s, consistent with recent daily highs near 100–101°F earlier in the month. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat-index values above 105°F despite modest afternoon cloud cover. Historical data show an average high of about 92°F for the date, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth driven by persistent subtropical air. With resolution based on official airport observations, traders have placed the strongest implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, aligning with the narrow consensus range across updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions