The verified minimum temperature at New York City's official Central Park station on September 12, 2026, settled in the 66–67 °F range, producing the market's near-certain 100 % pricing on that bin. Overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds kept temperatures from dropping to the seasonal 62–63 °F average or the lower values suggested by earlier model guidance. National Weather Service observations, cross-checked against nearby automated stations, confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are historically rare for this well-monitored urban station once the preliminary climatological report is issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月12日紐約市的最低溫度？
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61華氏度 <1%
$10,382 交易量
$10,382 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61華氏度
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61華氏度 <1%
$10,382 交易量
$10,382 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏57度或以下
$1,110 交易量
否
58-59°F
$506 交易量
否
60-61華氏度
$539 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,000 交易量
否
64-65°F
$1,889 交易量
否
66-67°F
$3,483 交易量
是
68-69°F
$1,149 交易量
否
70-71°F
$364 交易量
否
72-73°F
$157 交易量
否
74-75°F
$128 交易量
否
76°F或更高
$57 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The verified minimum temperature at New York City's official Central Park station on September 12, 2026, settled in the 66–67 °F range, producing the market's near-certain 100 % pricing on that bin. Overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds kept temperatures from dropping to the seasonal 62–63 °F average or the lower values suggested by earlier model guidance. National Weather Service observations, cross-checked against nearby automated stations, confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are historically rare for this well-monitored urban station once the preliminary climatological report is issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,382結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The verified minimum temperature at New York City's official Central Park station on September 12, 2026, settled in the 66–67 °F range, producing the market's near-certain 100 % pricing on that bin. Overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds kept temperatures from dropping to the seasonal 62–63 °F average or the lower values suggested by earlier model guidance. National Weather Service observations, cross-checked against nearby automated stations, confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are historically rare for this well-monitored urban station once the preliminary climatological report is issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,382結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The verified minimum temperature at New York City's official Central Park station on September 12, 2026, settled in the 66–67 °F range, producing the market's near-certain 100 % pricing on that bin. Overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds kept temperatures from dropping to the seasonal 62–63 °F average or the lower values suggested by earlier model guidance. National Weather Service observations, cross-checked against nearby automated stations, confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are historically rare for this well-monitored urban station once the preliminary climatological report is issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions