The market's near-certain consensus on a 70-71°F low for New York City on September 13, 2026, stems directly from post-event meteorological observations confirming that minimum. Official station data and hourly records show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming near 69–70°F under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds and no significant cool-air advection, aligning with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 62–63°F. This outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader positioning incorporating the narrow uncertainty typical of real-time weather data reconciliation across Central Park and regional sites. Only substantial revisions to official National Weather Service summaries or station-specific anomalies could realistically alter resolution within adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$11,972 交易量
$11,972 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏63度或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69華氏度
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
70-71°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$11,972 交易量
$11,972 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏63度或以下
$1,830 交易量
否
64-65°F
$726 交易量
否
66-67°F
$508 交易量
否
68-69華氏度
$1,618 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,461 交易量
是
72-73°F
$3,473 交易量
否
74-75°F
$1,433 交易量
否
76-77°F
$193 交易量
否
78-79°F
$506 交易量
否
80-81°F
$112 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$112 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 70-71°F low for New York City on September 13, 2026, stems directly from post-event meteorological observations confirming that minimum. Official station data and hourly records show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming near 69–70°F under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds and no significant cool-air advection, aligning with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 62–63°F. This outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader positioning incorporating the narrow uncertainty typical of real-time weather data reconciliation across Central Park and regional sites. Only substantial revisions to official National Weather Service summaries or station-specific anomalies could realistically alter resolution within adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,972結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 70-71°F low for New York City on September 13, 2026, stems directly from post-event meteorological observations confirming that minimum. Official station data and hourly records show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming near 69–70°F under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds and no significant cool-air advection, aligning with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 62–63°F. This outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader positioning incorporating the narrow uncertainty typical of real-time weather data reconciliation across Central Park and regional sites. Only substantial revisions to official National Weather Service summaries or station-specific anomalies could realistically alter resolution within adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,972結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain consensus on a 70-71°F low for New York City on September 13, 2026, stems directly from post-event meteorological observations confirming that minimum. Official station data and hourly records show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming near 69–70°F under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds and no significant cool-air advection, aligning with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 62–63°F. This outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader positioning incorporating the narrow uncertainty typical of real-time weather data reconciliation across Central Park and regional sites. Only substantial revisions to official National Weather Service summaries or station-specific anomalies could realistically alter resolution within adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions