Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts have established 28°C as the expected overnight minimum in Karachi on September 15, 2026, amid persistently high humidity near 80% and light monsoon-driven showers that limit radiative cooling. Southwest winds and partly cloudy skies have maintained temperatures close to climatological norms for mid-September, with multiple model runs converging on this threshold rather than deeper cooling. The market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this consensus from official measurements, though heavier localized rainfall or shifts in the low-pressure system could still produce a 27°C reading at certain stations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
9月15日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
28°C 99.5%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$1,011 交易量
$1,011 交易量
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
28°C 99.5%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$1,011 交易量
$1,011 交易量
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
24°C
$202 交易量
否
25°C
$146 交易量
否
26°C
$154 交易量
否
27°C
$66 交易量
否
28°C
$118 交易量
是
29°C
$253 交易量
否
30°C
$10 交易量
否
31°C
$10 交易量
否
32°C
$10 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$26 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts have established 28°C as the expected overnight minimum in Karachi on September 15, 2026, amid persistently high humidity near 80% and light monsoon-driven showers that limit radiative cooling. Southwest winds and partly cloudy skies have maintained temperatures close to climatological norms for mid-September, with multiple model runs converging on this threshold rather than deeper cooling. The market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this consensus from official measurements, though heavier localized rainfall or shifts in the low-pressure system could still produce a 27°C reading at certain stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,011結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts have established 28°C as the expected overnight minimum in Karachi on September 15, 2026, amid persistently high humidity near 80% and light monsoon-driven showers that limit radiative cooling. Southwest winds and partly cloudy skies have maintained temperatures close to climatological norms for mid-September, with multiple model runs converging on this threshold rather than deeper cooling. The market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this consensus from official measurements, though heavier localized rainfall or shifts in the low-pressure system could still produce a 27°C reading at certain stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,011結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts have established 28°C as the expected overnight minimum in Karachi on September 15, 2026, amid persistently high humidity near 80% and light monsoon-driven showers that limit radiative cooling. Southwest winds and partly cloudy skies have maintained temperatures close to climatological norms for mid-September, with multiple model runs converging on this threshold rather than deeper cooling. The market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this consensus from official measurements, though heavier localized rainfall or shifts in the low-pressure system could still produce a 27°C reading at certain stations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions