**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.** This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日芝加哥的最低溫度？
9月12日芝加哥的最低溫度？
76°F或更高 94%
華氏57度或以下 93%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
華氏57度或以下
93%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
39%
72-73華氏度
39%
74-75°F
39%
76°F或更高
94%
76°F或更高 94%
華氏57度或以下 93%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
華氏57度或以下
$0 交易量
93%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
39%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
39%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
39%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
26%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
30%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
26%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
39%
72-73華氏度
$0 交易量
39%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
39%
76°F或更高
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.**
This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.**
This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.** This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions