**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日青島氣溫最高？
9月12日青島氣溫最高？
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,383 交易量
$27,383 交易量
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,383 交易量
$27,383 交易量
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
$54 交易量
否
22°C
$366 交易量
否
23°C
$558 交易量
否
24°C
$2,658 交易量
否
25°C
$3,803 交易量
否
26°C
$8,004 交易量
否
27°C
$5,524 交易量
是
28°C
$2,920 交易量
否
29°C
$1,015 交易量
否
30°C
$1,692 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$788 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$27,383結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,383結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions