Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Shanghai on September 10 most likely between 28°C and 29°C, with light rain or showers expected under northeast winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This narrow band, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, stems from current atmospheric conditions including a weak pressure gradient and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages near 27-28°C provide baseline context, yet short-term model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty around whether the peak reaches 29°C before showers develop or stays capped at 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日上海最高溫度？
9月10日上海最高溫度？
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
最新
$25,303 交易量
最新
$25,303 交易量
2026-09-10
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
40%
29°C
33%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
最新
$25,303 交易量
最新
$25,303 交易量
2026-09-10
25°C或以下
$338 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,122 交易量
4%
27°C
$7,711 交易量
18%
28°C
$3,280 交易量
40%
29°C
$7,143 交易量
33%
30°C
$2,168 交易量
8%
31°C
$508 交易量
1%
32°C
$492 交易量
<1%
33°C
$290 交易量
<1%
34°C
$857 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$395 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Shanghai on September 10 most likely between 28°C and 29°C, with light rain or showers expected under northeast winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This narrow band, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, stems from current atmospheric conditions including a weak pressure gradient and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages near 27-28°C provide baseline context, yet short-term model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty around whether the peak reaches 29°C before showers develop or stays capped at 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,303結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Shanghai on September 10 most likely between 28°C and 29°C, with light rain or showers expected under northeast winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This narrow band, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, stems from current atmospheric conditions including a weak pressure gradient and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages near 27-28°C provide baseline context, yet short-term model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty around whether the peak reaches 29°C before showers develop or stays capped at 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,303結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Shanghai on September 10 most likely between 28°C and 29°C, with light rain or showers expected under northeast winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This narrow band, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, stems from current atmospheric conditions including a weak pressure gradient and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages near 27-28°C provide baseline context, yet short-term model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty around whether the peak reaches 29°C before showers develop or stays capped at 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions