**Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 amid active monsoon conditions.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and global models currently point to a minimum near 24–27°C, consistent with seasonal norms during the retreating monsoon, when high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorms and scattered rainfall expected around the date—driven by a low-pressure area and associated moisture—tend to elevate minimum temperatures by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky cooling. However, any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to dip closer to or below 22°C. Conversely, persistent heavy rain or stronger southerly flow could push the low toward or above 28–30°C. With resolution imminent, the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and IMD nowcasts will likely sharpen the distribution between the closely matched extreme buckets and the central probabilities around 25–27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
9月11日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或更高 95%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C或更高
95%
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或更高 95%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
95%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
37%
25°C
$0 交易量
20%
26°C
$10 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$42 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
37%
30°C
$0 交易量
37%
31°C
$0 交易量
37%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 amid active monsoon conditions.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and global models currently point to a minimum near 24–27°C, consistent with seasonal norms during the retreating monsoon, when high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling.
Thunderstorms and scattered rainfall expected around the date—driven by a low-pressure area and associated moisture—tend to elevate minimum temperatures by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky cooling. However, any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to dip closer to or below 22°C. Conversely, persistent heavy rain or stronger southerly flow could push the low toward or above 28–30°C. With resolution imminent, the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and IMD nowcasts will likely sharpen the distribution between the closely matched extreme buckets and the central probabilities around 25–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$52結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 amid active monsoon conditions.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and global models currently point to a minimum near 24–27°C, consistent with seasonal norms during the retreating monsoon, when high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling.
Thunderstorms and scattered rainfall expected around the date—driven by a low-pressure area and associated moisture—tend to elevate minimum temperatures by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky cooling. However, any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to dip closer to or below 22°C. Conversely, persistent heavy rain or stronger southerly flow could push the low toward or above 28–30°C. With resolution imminent, the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and IMD nowcasts will likely sharpen the distribution between the closely matched extreme buckets and the central probabilities around 25–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$52結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 amid active monsoon conditions.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and global models currently point to a minimum near 24–27°C, consistent with seasonal norms during the retreating monsoon, when high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorms and scattered rainfall expected around the date—driven by a low-pressure area and associated moisture—tend to elevate minimum temperatures by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky cooling. However, any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow temperatures to dip closer to or below 22°C. Conversely, persistent heavy rain or stronger southerly flow could push the low toward or above 28–30°C. With resolution imminent, the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and IMD nowcasts will likely sharpen the distribution between the closely matched extreme buckets and the central probabilities around 25–27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions