Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance positions Amsterdam's September 9 maximum near 18°C, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover and showers that suppress diurnal heating. Forecast highs cluster between 17–19°C across runs, with limited insolation and 15–20 km/h winds preventing stronger warming despite a late-summer baseline near 20°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% probability at 18°C and 32.5% at 19°C aligns with this range, while lower outcomes remain possible if showers intensify. Official observations from Schiphol will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
18°C 49%
19°C 34%
17°C 13%
20°C 5%
$23,924 交易量
$23,924 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
13%
18°C
49%
19°C
34%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 34%
17°C 13%
20°C 5%
$23,924 交易量
$23,924 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
13%
18°C
49%
19°C
34%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance positions Amsterdam's September 9 maximum near 18°C, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover and showers that suppress diurnal heating. Forecast highs cluster between 17–19°C across runs, with limited insolation and 15–20 km/h winds preventing stronger warming despite a late-summer baseline near 20°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% probability at 18°C and 32.5% at 19°C aligns with this range, while lower outcomes remain possible if showers intensify. Official observations from Schiphol will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions