Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's September 9 maximum will likely fall between 19–22°C as a moist westerly flow and associated frontal system bring widespread cloud cover and rain, limiting solar heating. Persistent stratiform clouds and precipitation reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping afternoon readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.7°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences hinging on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader probabilities cluster on 20–22°C because these outcomes align with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while extremes below 19°C or above 23°C would require unexpected clearing or stronger warm advection not currently supported. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
20°C 27%
21°C 26%
22°C 24%
23°C 11%
最新
$10,878 交易量
最新
$10,878 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
24%
23°C
11%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
20°C 27%
21°C 26%
22°C 24%
23°C 11%
最新
$10,878 交易量
最新
$10,878 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
$29 交易量
2%
18°C
$487 交易量
3%
19°C
$2,207 交易量
10%
20°C
$2,959 交易量
27%
21°C
$1,552 交易量
26%
22°C
$1,739 交易量
24%
23°C
$956 交易量
11%
24°C
$51 交易量
2%
25°C
$35 交易量
1%
26°C
$401 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$461 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's September 9 maximum will likely fall between 19–22°C as a moist westerly flow and associated frontal system bring widespread cloud cover and rain, limiting solar heating. Persistent stratiform clouds and precipitation reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping afternoon readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.7°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences hinging on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader probabilities cluster on 20–22°C because these outcomes align with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while extremes below 19°C or above 23°C would require unexpected clearing or stronger warm advection not currently supported. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,878結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's September 9 maximum will likely fall between 19–22°C as a moist westerly flow and associated frontal system bring widespread cloud cover and rain, limiting solar heating. Persistent stratiform clouds and precipitation reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping afternoon readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.7°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences hinging on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader probabilities cluster on 20–22°C because these outcomes align with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while extremes below 19°C or above 23°C would require unexpected clearing or stronger warm advection not currently supported. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,878結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's September 9 maximum will likely fall between 19–22°C as a moist westerly flow and associated frontal system bring widespread cloud cover and rain, limiting solar heating. Persistent stratiform clouds and precipitation reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping afternoon readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.7°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences hinging on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader probabilities cluster on 20–22°C because these outcomes align with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while extremes below 19°C or above 23°C would require unexpected clearing or stronger warm advection not currently supported. Updated runs overnight will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions