A cold front sweeping across southern Germany after Tuesday's peak of 33°C is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the German Weather Service and multiple models converging on a Thursday high of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This post-frontal air mass, drier and several degrees below seasonal norms, has compressed the probability distribution around 19°C (43.5%) and 20°C (25.5%), consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal warming. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the recent 10°C drop and stable high pressure favor the current cooler consensus over any late rebound. Updated model runs and DWD briefings on Wednesday evening remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月10日慕尼黑最高溫度？
19°C 44%
20°C 26%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
44%
20°C
26%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
1%
19°C 44%
20°C 26%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
13°C或以下
$445 交易量
<1%
14°C
$379 交易量
<1%
15°C
$12 交易量
2%
16°C
$87 交易量
2%
17°C
$578 交易量
3%
18°C
$469 交易量
14%
19°C
$233 交易量
44%
20°C
$350 交易量
26%
21°C
$628 交易量
11%
22°C
$51 交易量
2%
23°C或以上
$48 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front sweeping across southern Germany after Tuesday's peak of 33°C is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the German Weather Service and multiple models converging on a Thursday high of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This post-frontal air mass, drier and several degrees below seasonal norms, has compressed the probability distribution around 19°C (43.5%) and 20°C (25.5%), consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal warming. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the recent 10°C drop and stable high pressure favor the current cooler consensus over any late rebound. Updated model runs and DWD briefings on Wednesday evening remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,278結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front sweeping across southern Germany after Tuesday's peak of 33°C is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the German Weather Service and multiple models converging on a Thursday high of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This post-frontal air mass, drier and several degrees below seasonal norms, has compressed the probability distribution around 19°C (43.5%) and 20°C (25.5%), consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal warming. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the recent 10°C drop and stable high pressure favor the current cooler consensus over any late rebound. Updated model runs and DWD briefings on Wednesday evening remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,278結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETA cold front sweeping across southern Germany after Tuesday's peak of 33°C is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the German Weather Service and multiple models converging on a Thursday high of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This post-frontal air mass, drier and several degrees below seasonal norms, has compressed the probability distribution around 19°C (43.5%) and 20°C (25.5%), consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal warming. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the recent 10°C drop and stable high pressure favor the current cooler consensus over any late rebound. Updated model runs and DWD briefings on Wednesday evening remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions