Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 82°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 66.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions, with daytime heating from a morning low near 64°F expected to peak in the low 80s absent stronger insolation or advection. The 25% odds on 80-81°F capture minor downside risks from increased cloud cover, while slim chances above 84°F would require unexpected clearing or warmer boundary-layer air. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月8日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月8日的最高溫度？
82-83°F 71%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
78-79°F 3%
$24,074 交易量
$24,074 交易量
2026-09-08
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
71%
84-85°F
11%
86-87華氏度
2%
88-89華氏度
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
82-83°F 71%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
78-79°F 3%
$24,074 交易量
$24,074 交易量
2026-09-08
華氏73度或以下
$882 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$393 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$1,431 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,972 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$5,592 交易量
17%
82-83°F
$5,531 交易量
71%
84-85°F
$2,593 交易量
11%
86-87華氏度
$1,368 交易量
2%
88-89華氏度
$1,380 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$277 交易量
<1%
92°F或以上
$1,677 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 82°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 66.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions, with daytime heating from a morning low near 64°F expected to peak in the low 80s absent stronger insolation or advection. The 25% odds on 80-81°F capture minor downside risks from increased cloud cover, while slim chances above 84°F would require unexpected clearing or warmer boundary-layer air. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$24,074結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 82°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 66.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions, with daytime heating from a morning low near 64°F expected to peak in the low 80s absent stronger insolation or advection. The 25% odds on 80-81°F capture minor downside risks from increased cloud cover, while slim chances above 84°F would require unexpected clearing or warmer boundary-layer air. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,074結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 2:55 AM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 82°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's strong 66.5% implied probability on 82-83°F. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions, with daytime heating from a morning low near 64°F expected to peak in the low 80s absent stronger insolation or advection. The 25% odds on 80-81°F capture minor downside risks from increased cloud cover, while slim chances above 84°F would require unexpected clearing or warmer boundary-layer air. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia will determine the daily maximum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions