Current forecasts from multiple models show Moscow under northwesterly flow bringing cooler air masses, with persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and expected highs clustered between 13–18 °C. This setup, following a cooler start to the week, drives the market’s concentration on 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for variance from model spread or brief clearing. Historical September averages near 18 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated runs from agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble guidance ahead of September 8 will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日莫斯科最高溫度?
14°C 32%
13°C 23%
12°C 20%
15°C 20%
7°C或以下
4%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
20%
13°C
23%
14°C
32%
15°C
20%
16°C
7%
17°C或以上
6%
14°C 32%
13°C 23%
12°C 20%
15°C 20%
7°C或以下
4%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
20%
13°C
23%
14°C
32%
15°C
20%
16°C
7%
17°C或以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models show Moscow under northwesterly flow bringing cooler air masses, with persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and expected highs clustered between 13–18 °C. This setup, following a cooler start to the week, drives the market’s concentration on 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for variance from model spread or brief clearing. Historical September averages near 18 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated runs from agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble guidance ahead of September 8 will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions