Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6 in the low 30s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and thunderstorms expected to cap afternoon peaks. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as precipitation timing and intensity remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when showers develop. Historical averages near 32.7°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns favor slightly suppressed values relative to clear-sky norms. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日廣州最高溫度？
9月6日廣州最高溫度？
32°C 34%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
26%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
27°C
$11 交易量
1%
28°C
$43 交易量
2%
29°C
$130 交易量
4%
30°C
$236 交易量
6%
31°C
$124 交易量
21%
32°C
$127 交易量
34%
33°C
$270 交易量
26%
34°C
$1,112 交易量
9%
35°C
$108 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$272 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6 in the low 30s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and thunderstorms expected to cap afternoon peaks. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as precipitation timing and intensity remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when showers develop. Historical averages near 32.7°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns favor slightly suppressed values relative to clear-sky norms. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,442結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6 in the low 30s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and thunderstorms expected to cap afternoon peaks. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as precipitation timing and intensity remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when showers develop. Historical averages near 32.7°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns favor slightly suppressed values relative to clear-sky norms. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,442結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6 in the low 30s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and thunderstorms expected to cap afternoon peaks. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as precipitation timing and intensity remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when showers develop. Historical averages near 32.7°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns favor slightly suppressed values relative to clear-sky norms. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions