Current observational data from Wellington International Airport and forecast models show a daily maximum temperature reaching 15°C on September 5 amid typical spring conditions, with northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting modest daytime warming near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. This aligns with the market-implied 98% consensus for 15°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time agency guidance from sources like MetService and international models. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front, increased cloud cover, or rapid wind shift suppressing the peak below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow remaining window for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月5日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 99.2%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
$51,159 交易量
$51,159 交易量
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 99.2%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
$51,159 交易量
$51,159 交易量
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
11°C
$403 交易量
<1%
12°C
$324 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,458 交易量
<1%
14°C
$11,288 交易量
<1%
15°C
$11,855 交易量
99%
16°C
$15,100 交易量
2%
17°C
$5,715 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,358 交易量
<1%
19°C
$177 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$231 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Wellington International Airport and forecast models show a daily maximum temperature reaching 15°C on September 5 amid typical spring conditions, with northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting modest daytime warming near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. This aligns with the market-implied 98% consensus for 15°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time agency guidance from sources like MetService and international models. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front, increased cloud cover, or rapid wind shift suppressing the peak below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow remaining window for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$51,159結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Wellington International Airport and forecast models show a daily maximum temperature reaching 15°C on September 5 amid typical spring conditions, with northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting modest daytime warming near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. This aligns with the market-implied 98% consensus for 15°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time agency guidance from sources like MetService and international models. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front, increased cloud cover, or rapid wind shift suppressing the peak below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow remaining window for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,159結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent observational data from Wellington International Airport and forecast models show a daily maximum temperature reaching 15°C on September 5 amid typical spring conditions, with northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting modest daytime warming near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. This aligns with the market-implied 98% consensus for 15°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time agency guidance from sources like MetService and international models. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front, increased cloud cover, or rapid wind shift suppressing the peak below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow remaining window for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions