Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4, 2026, show a high in the mid-80s under partly sunny skies with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This follows a more humid, stormy September 3 with highs near 86°F, as a frontal passage promotes modest cooling and clearing. Model consensus aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach about 80°F but recent warm anomalies and humidity support readings in the 84–87°F range. These conditions position the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins as the leading market-implied outcomes, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or model shifts before final observations at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日紐約市的最高溫度？
9月4日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 42%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
5%
92°F或以上
3%
84-85°F 42%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏73度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$13 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$40 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$264 交易量
42%
86-87°F
$255 交易量
32%
88-89°F
$344 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
5%
92°F或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4, 2026, show a high in the mid-80s under partly sunny skies with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This follows a more humid, stormy September 3 with highs near 86°F, as a frontal passage promotes modest cooling and clearing. Model consensus aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach about 80°F but recent warm anomalies and humidity support readings in the 84–87°F range. These conditions position the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins as the leading market-implied outcomes, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or model shifts before final observations at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$915結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4, 2026, show a high in the mid-80s under partly sunny skies with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This follows a more humid, stormy September 3 with highs near 86°F, as a frontal passage promotes modest cooling and clearing. Model consensus aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach about 80°F but recent warm anomalies and humidity support readings in the 84–87°F range. These conditions position the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins as the leading market-implied outcomes, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or model shifts before final observations at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$915結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4, 2026, show a high in the mid-80s under partly sunny skies with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This follows a more humid, stormy September 3 with highs near 86°F, as a frontal passage promotes modest cooling and clearing. Model consensus aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach about 80°F but recent warm anomalies and humidity support readings in the 84–87°F range. These conditions position the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins as the leading market-implied outcomes, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or model shifts before final observations at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions