Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northwest winds advecting a cooler, drier air mass behind recent frontal passages and reduced cloud cover that enhances overnight radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains split, with elevated odds on extremes (13°C or below and 23°C or higher) reflecting uncertainty in model guidance for boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of clearing skies amid lingering humidity from prior thunderstorms. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology, where diurnal ranges often reach 8–12°C under post-frontal conditions, though small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture could alter the overnight low by several degrees before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日多倫多氣溫最低?
13°C或以下 69%
23°C或以上 59%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
13°C或以下
69%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
24%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C或以上
59%
13°C或以下 69%
23°C或以上 59%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
13°C或以下
69%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
24%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C或以上
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northwest winds advecting a cooler, drier air mass behind recent frontal passages and reduced cloud cover that enhances overnight radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains split, with elevated odds on extremes (13°C or below and 23°C or higher) reflecting uncertainty in model guidance for boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of clearing skies amid lingering humidity from prior thunderstorms. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology, where diurnal ranges often reach 8–12°C under post-frontal conditions, though small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture could alter the overnight low by several degrees before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions