Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and supporting models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited solar heating. This consensus aligns closely with early-September climatology for Amsterdam, where highs typically range 18–22°C, and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Light precipitation chances and moderate winds further cap upside potential while preventing cooler deviations. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 1 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
21°C 53%
22°C 32%
20°C 13%
18°C 3%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
53%
22°C
32%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 32%
20°C 13%
18°C 3%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
53%
22°C
32%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and supporting models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited solar heating. This consensus aligns closely with early-September climatology for Amsterdam, where highs typically range 18–22°C, and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Light precipitation chances and moderate winds further cap upside potential while preventing cooler deviations. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 1 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions