Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月2日聖保羅最低溫度？
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C或以下 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 交易量
$1,974 交易量
2026-09-02
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
否
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C或以下 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 交易量
$1,974 交易量
2026-09-02
9°C或以下
$37 交易量
否
10°C
$174 交易量
否
11°C
$219 交易量
否
12°C
$321 交易量
是
13°C
$226 交易量
否
14°C
$207 交易量
否
15°C
$164 交易量
否
16°C
$169 交易量
否
17°C
$139 交易量
否
18°C
$159 交易量
否
19°C或以上
$159 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,974結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,974結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions