Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月2日多倫多氣溫最高？
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$156 交易量
3%
26°C
$189 交易量
5%
27°C
$252 交易量
22%
28°C
$192 交易量
30%
29°C
$424 交易量
25%
30°C
$294 交易量
9%
31°C
$125 交易量
3%
32°C
$269 交易量
4%
33°C
$196 交易量
1%
34°C
$120 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$347 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,564結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,564結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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